Amy Coney Barrett will be a pro-growth voice on the Supreme Court

Supreme Court Nominee Barrett in Her Own Words | National Law Journal

Amy Coney Barrett will be a pro-growth voice on the Supreme Court
Amy Coney Barrett, speaking in 2018. Credit: Diego M. Radzinschi / ALM

President Donald Trump picked Judge Amy Coney Barrett of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit to fill the seat of the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who died Sept. 18 after a long battle with cancer.

A selection of Barrett’s words and writings—some of which might be in focus as her confirmation proceeds in the U.S. Senate—follows.

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51% in U.S. Want Amy Coney Barrett Seated on Supreme Court

Amy Coney Barrett will be a pro-growth voice on the Supreme Court

  • 51% want Barrett to be confirmed to fill Ginsburg's seat; 46% do not
  • The 3% with no opinion of nomination is sharply lower than past readings
  • 84% of Democrats against Barrett nomination, highest on record


— A slim 51% majority of Americans support federal judge Amy Coney Barrett to fill the U.S. Supreme Court seat left vacant by Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's death last month. At the same time, 46% of U.S.

adults do not want Barrett to be seated, and 3% do not yet have an opinion of her nomination.

Barrett is the twelfth Supreme Court nominee for whom Gallup has measured public support since 1987.

The public's initial support for Barrett's confirmation is higher than either of President Donald Trump's two previous nominees — Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh — had at any point prior to their confirmations.

But opposition is also higher than any other nominee's initial reading. This is owed to the fact that the percentage of Americans with no opinion on the Barrett vote is strikingly lower than it has been for any other nominee in Gallup's history.

On average, 25% of Americans have not had an opinion of Supreme Court nominees in the initial measure after the president's selection. The 3% with no opinion on Barrett's nomination is even lower than the average 22% that Gallup has seen in the final measurement before the last eight justices were confirmed.

Initial Support for Confirmation of Recent Supreme Court Nominees

Date of poll Vote in favor Not vote in favor No opinion % % %Amy Coney Barrett Brett Kavanaugh Neil Gorsuch Merrick Garland Elena Kagan Sonia Sotomayor Samuel Alito Harriet Miers John Roberts Ruth Bader Ginsburg Clarence Thomas Robert Bork Average for previous nominees
2020 Sep 30-Oct 1551463
2018 Jul 10-15413722
2017 Feb 1-2453223
2016 Mar 18-19522919
2010 May 24-25463222
2009 May 29-31542819
2005 Nov 7-10502525
2005 Oct 13-16443620
2005 Jul 22-24592219
1993 Jun 18-21531433
1991 Jul 11-14521731
1987 Aug 24-Sep 2312544
Note: Data are first Gallup survey conducted after nomination was made. There are no measures for Stephen Breyer, David Souter, Anthony Kennedy and Douglas Ginsburg.

The latest reading is from a Sept. 30-Oct. 15 poll, which began four days after Trump officially nominated the 48-year-old federal appeals court judge who is expected to move the court in a more conservative direction. The poll ended on the same day that the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings came to a close.

The committee is expected to vote this week, setting up a final vote by the full Senate the week prior to Election Day, Nov. 3, which makes the current timeline one of the most accelerated in U.S. history. If confirmed as expected, it will be the closest to a general election that a justice has been seated on the nation's highest court.

Several factors may be contributing to the high proportion of Americans expressing an opinion on Barrett's confirmation. Among them is the fact that the nomination process is unfolding during a presidential election campaign in which millions of voters have already cast their ballots.

Additionally, Democrats have cited the 2016 precedent when Republican senators refused to consider President Barack Obama's nomination of Merrick Garland nearly eight months before that year's election.

Moreover, the fact that Barrett had been cited in the past as a possible nominee by Trump may have raised awareness about her.

Notably, although more Americans want to see Barrett confirmed than not, polling by other organizations has shown solid majorities wanting the winner of the Nov. 3 election and the newly elected Senate to make the nomination rather than President Trump and the current Senate.

Record-High Opposition Among Democrats and Support Among Republicans

While partisanship has always been a factor in the public's reaction to prior nominees, the level of opposition to Barrett's confirmation among Democrats is the highest Gallup has measured to date among those who identify with the party not holding the White House. The 84% of Democrats who stand against Barrett's nomination exceeds the 67% who opposed Kavanaugh shortly after his nomination as well as the final 78% reading after his contentious confirmation hearings.

Opinions About Senate Confirmation of Supreme Court Nominee, Among Those Who Support the Opposition Party (to the President)

Party of president Opposition party Vote in favor Not vote in favor No opinion % % % Barrett Kavanaugh Gorsuch Garland Kagan Sotomayor Alito Miers Roberts Ginsburg Thomas Bork
Note: Data are first Gallup survey conducted after nomination was made. There are no measures for Stephen Breyer, David Souter, Anthony Kennedy and Douglas Ginsburg.

Republicans' support for Barrett's nomination is also higher than any other nominee dating back to 1987. Nearly nine in 10 Republicans (89%) support her compared with 76% who were in favor of Kavanagh and Gorsuch.

Opinions About Senate Confirming Supreme Court Nominee, Among Those Who Identify With the President's Party

Party of president Vote in favor Not vote in favor No opinion % % % Barrett Kavanaugh Gorsuch Garland Kagan Sotomayor Alito Miers Roberts Ginsburg Thomas Bork
Note: Data are first Gallup survey conducted after nomination was made. There are no measures for Stephen Breyer, David Souter, Anthony Kennedy and Douglas Ginsburg.

Independents' 52% support for Barrett's confirmation is identical to what it was for the woman who she would be replacing, Ginsburg. It is also on par with independents' views of the nominations of Sonia Sotomayor and John Roberts, but it is higher than the last two nominees to the high court — Gorsuch (44%) and Kavanaugh (38%).

Opinions About Senate Confirming Supreme Court Nominee, Among Independents

Vote in favor Not vote in favor No opinion % % % Barrett Kavanaugh Gorsuch Garland Kagan Sotomayor Alito Miers Roberts Ginsburg Thomas Bork
Note: Data are first Gallup survey conducted after nomination was made. There are no measures for Stephen Breyer, David Souter, Anthony Kennedy and Douglas Ginsburg.

Bottom Line

Trump's nomination of Barrett to replace Ginsburg on the Supreme Court was a particularly controversial move given that it came so close to the election.

The sharp political polarization in the country and attention from the media to the unusual timing of the nomination may be why nearly all Americans have an opinion about it.

Whatever the case, Americans are sharply divided in their support for her.

Democrats have little recourse to stall or otherwise block Barrett's nomination as only 51 votes are needed for confirmation, and the filibuster is no longer an option for Supreme Court justices. As such, they seem to have accepted that Barrett will be most ly be seated before Election Day.

Their questions in last week's hearings were used more as an opportunity to try to portend what the court will look with her tipping the balance even further to the conservative side than to thwart her nomination. They have laid out their predictions about how the U.S.

healthcare system and abortion rights may change with Barrett as a justice, and Biden has left the door open to the possibility that, if elected, he may move to add justices to the Supreme Court.

With the exceptions of Bork, Miers and Kavanaugh, there has been little change in Americans' fundamental support for the confirmation of past high court nominees between Gallup's initial readings and subsequent measurements leading up to their confirmation hearings. As such, barring an extraordinary turn of events, the public is ly to continue to back Barrett's confirmation.

View complete question responses and trends (PDF download).

Learn more about how the Gallup Poll Social Series works.


Senate confirms Amy Coney Barrett but controversy follows her to the Supreme Court

Amy Coney Barrett will be a pro-growth voice on the Supreme Court

Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett testifies on the third day of her Senate Judiciary Committee confirmation hearing on Oct. 14.

(Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)Posted October 26, 2020 at 2:23pm

Senate Republicans finished their race Monday to confirm Amy Coney Barrett and boost the long-running conservative advantage on the Supreme Court, where her actions on consequential cases in the coming days and months could amplify calls to revamp the high court and change Senate rules to do so.

Barrett narrowly won confirmation in a 52-48 vote Monday evening almost entirely along party lines to fill the vacancy left by the death last month of liberal Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. She joins the court in time to consider legal fights over the presidential election and to decide whether the entire 2010 health care law should be wiped out.

Democrats decried Republicans for what they called a sham and hypocritical confirmation process so close to the Nov. 3 elections that will determine control of the White House and the Senate. Four years earlier, Republicans refused to consider President Barack Obama’s Supreme Court nominee, Merrick B. Garland, for eight months because they said it was too close to a presidential election.

“The truth is, this nomination is part of a decadeslong effort to tilt the judiciary to the far right to accomplish through the courts what the radical right and their allies, Senate Republicans, could never accomplish through Congress,” Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer said Monday.

But Democrats were powerless to stop Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell from strengthening the long-running advantage for justices appointed by Republican presidents from 5-4 to 6-3, including a third appointee by President Donald Trump.

The political spotlight will quickly shift to the Supreme Court docket. What happens there, and at the ballot box, will shape whether Democrats and their allies press for actions to rebalance the court such as adding more justices to recoup what they consider a stolen seat.

Those fixes would almost certainly require the end of the Senate’s longstanding rules that allow the minority party to block legislation, and some Democrats suggested that might need to be done no matter how the Supreme Court’s rulings come down.

“If Trump and Republicans succeed in ramming this nomination through, the American people will expect us to use every tool we have to undo the damage and restore the court’s integrity,” Massachusetts Democrat Elizabeth Warren said Sunday.

Such a move would require Democratic control of the Senate and White House. And that appetite for change could grow if Supreme Court decisions cut against positions favored by Democrats, particularly if it happens on issues that also have widespread support.

Schumer, in a floor speech Sunday, laid out the issues he and other Democrats will watch, in addition to their fears that Barrett’s confirmation could mean rulings that side with conservatives on voting rights, global warming, gun control, LGBT rights and more.

Texas Republican Sen. John Cornyn said Barrett has all the qualities sought in a judge, would apply the law fairly, even in the health care law case, and did not prejudge cases and give any hint or prediction of outcomes or an agenda.

If a judge made those sorts of commitments on policy issues at the confirmation hearing, Cornyn said, “that would be disqualifying in and of itself. ”

But by late Monday, some Republicans were not being as coy about the reasons they support Barrett.

“This is the mostly openly pro-life judicial nominee to the Supreme Court in my lifetime,” Missouri Republican Sen. Josh Hawley, a former Supreme Court clerk, said on the Senate floor ahead of the vote. “This is an individual who has been open in her criticism of that illegitimate decision, Roe v. Wade.”

Key cases

Barrett could be the deciding vote on a case in which Republicans in the key swing state of Pennsylvania have asked the Supreme Court to stop a state court’s decision to allow election officials to count mail-in ballots that arrive up to three days after Nov. 3, Schumer said.

Mississippi state officials have asked the Supreme Court to review a state law that bans abortions after 15 weeks, “an invitation for a new configuration on the court to revisit Roe v. Wade,” the landmark 1973 case that established a constitutional right to abortion, Schumer said.

And on an issue that Democrats focused on most during the confirmation process, the Supreme Court on Nov. 10 hears arguments from the Trump administration and a coalition of officials from Republican-led states that if one part of the health care law is unconstitutional then the entire law must fall, along with popular provisions such as protections for people with preexisting conditions.

In those cases and more, the Supreme Court’s three justices in the liberal wing would have to pick up at least two votes from the conservative wing to find any victories on ideologically divisive issues.

But it’s not clear whether Barrett, who as a legal academic criticized previous Supreme Court decisions that upheld the health care law, will cast the deciding vote in that case. Legal experts say a majority of current justices have already signaled strong support for the legal approach that would carve out any unconstitutional provision and let the rest of the law stand.

Also, the Supreme Court, which seeks to defend the legitimacy of its rulings as rooted in the law and not political ideology, knows the political world is watching.

“We want to make sure we make as much noise about this as possible, so that Republicans are accountable for that choice when it happens,” Rhode Island Democratic Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse said on a press call Sunday. “And maybe, just maybe, the Supreme Court dials back and doesn’t do what the plan is because they’re worried about all the noise we’ve made.”

Barrett, who is Roman Catholic and has been a federal appeals court judge since 2017, will immediately be tested on her statements about setting aside personal beliefs for the law, including on abortion, the death penalty and the health care law.

Also on the docket before the end of the year are cases on the Trump administration’s handling of the 2020 census and the House Judiciary Committee’s effort to see grand jury materials from former special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s probe into Russian interference in the 2016 election.

Moving quickly

If Democrats win the White House and Senate, and retain control of the House, they have legislation that McConnell has blocked on gun control, policing and more.

“The first thing the box may be the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, to restore voting rights that the Supreme Court has taken away,” Ohio Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown said Sunday on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

Barrett did little in her three days of confirmation hearings before the Senate Judiciary Committee to illuminate how she might rule in pending cases, and whether she might recuse herself from certain issues such as a contested presidential election.

Barrett told the country that her judicial philosophy is that of the late conservative Justice Antonin Scalia, but she said she would be her own justice. Democrats say that approach will put Barrett on the wrong side of the country’s sentiment on major issues.

McConnell gave voice to the long-term consequences of Barrett’s confirmation to solidify the Supreme Court’s conservative shift and what it means for Congress. He hinted on Sunday that Barrett’s vote on the court could stand in the way of liberal policies for decades.

“A lot of what we’ve done over the last four years will be undone, sooner or later, by the next election,” the Kentucky Republican said.

Schumer warned Republicans that this would not blow over. Barrett might be confirmed, the New York Democrat said, turning to Republicans in the chamber, “but you will never, never get your credibility back.”

“And the next time the American people give Democrats a majority in this chamber, you will have forfeited the right to tell us how to run that majority,” Schumer said. “You may win this vote. But in the process, you will speed the precipitous decline of faith in our institution, our politics, the Senate and the Supreme Court.”

McConnell accused Democrats of threatening Supreme Court justices to “rule how we want” or they will change the court’s structure and senators to “vote how we want” or they will end the filibuster.

“It’s a hostage situation,” McConnell said.

CQ Roll Call is a part of FiscalNote, the leading technology innovator at the intersection of global business and government. Copyright 2021 CQ Roll Call. All rights reserved.


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